Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63074a69db9fbe28c8a9f3bfe64d8c16eb39e302be281ad9e3a91081b7429f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,134,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,131,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,134,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 1c | 272,095$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.69 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 5c | 197,240$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.22 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…7100backed No | 2c | 143,522$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…cf95backed No | 0c | 135,804$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…7c3bbacked No | 2c | 100,034$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed No | 1c | 97,323$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 0c | 91,566$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…78f4backed No | 1c | 85,306$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 79c | 74,435$58,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,676.83 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Yes | 78c | 70,873$55,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,516.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…3f5ebacked No | 32c | 61,663$19,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,984.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 0c | 60,436$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…caeabacked No | 24c | 57,871$14,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 41c | 51,766$21,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,323.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…bb16backed No | 14c | 50,760$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…9cffbacked No | 33c | 43,995$14,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,681.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…af47backed No | 19c | 42,032$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d2d8backed No | 5c | 41,194$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…0659backed No | 38c | 39,718$14,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…60b0backed No | 6c | 37,915$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 76c | 34,813$26,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,458.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…78f4backed No | 0c | 34,113$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…aeb4backed No | 8c | 32,806$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…4d2fbacked No | 3c | 32,796$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…5c42backed No | 27c | 32,682$8,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…ef86backed Yes | 73c | 32,364$23,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…66d6backed No | 20c | 32,094$6,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 79c | 31,408$24,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.43 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…61ffbacked No | 5c | 30,579$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb398…d1cdbacked No | 0c | 30,153$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 17c | 29,671$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…29d5backed Yes | 77c | 29,000$22,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…02e2backed No | 4c | 27,869$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 31c | 27,561$8,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,660.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 60c | 26,611$15,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,690.31 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…48aabacked No | 2c | 26,558$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 42c | 26,333$11,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,145.34 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…158fbacked No | 20c | 25,631$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 78c | 25,576$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,575.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked No | 4c | 25,179$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…cde7backed No | 21c | 25,005$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…8fc9backed No | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…8c35backed No | 5c | 22,943$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 18c | 22,863$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…f4aebacked No | 3c | 22,522$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…f18abacked No | 7c | 22,465$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…77d9backed No | 0c | 21,681$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…751bbacked No | 2c | 21,326$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…a998backed No | 7c | 21,296$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acc…2644backed No | 5c | 20,935$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 80c | 20,912$16,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 68c | 20,852$14,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,641.36 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked No | 18c | 20,535$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…6af5backed No | 2c | 20,521$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…442fbacked No | 21c | 20,453$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 75c | 20,425$15,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…bb06backed No | 21c | 20,183$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b2…2cc1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42c…1d8cbacked No | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…0c98backed No | 19c | 19,766$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed No | 18c | 19,423$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 2c | 18,613$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed No | 30c | 18,500$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed No | 29c | 17,110$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 71c | 17,064$12,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.29 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…5648backed No | 3c | 17,006$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed No | 8c | 16,896$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…3898backed No | 7c | 16,842$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…fcaebacked No | 9c | 15,971$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…15c3backed No | 29c | 15,747$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…2538backed No | 27c | 15,414$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 71c | 15,098$10,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…e5fcbacked No | 11c | 15,010$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.03 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked No | 5c | 14,734$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…16b3backed No | 3c | 14,277$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 28c | 14,054$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 60c | 14,015$8,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…c498backed No | 2c | 13,971$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked No | 3c | 13,944$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 12c | 13,769$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.34 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…bb4bbacked No | 22c | 13,703$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 78c | 13,478$10,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…3cf3backed No | 1c | 13,417$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 56c | 13,333$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…36f7backed No | 23c | 13,296$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 72c | 13,058$9,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.93 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…4ca4backed Yes | 79c | 13,044$10,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked Yes | 75c | 12,800$9,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 26c | 12,663$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 21c | 12,626$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 37c | 12,322$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.07 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 3c | 12,071$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…937fbacked No | 0c | 12,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 74c | 12,000$8,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 12c | 11,764$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.17 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 78c | 11,728$9,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.03 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 69c | 11,557$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe093…3670backed No | 1c | 11,554$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.