TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc023…ccf8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT3619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,412.31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$822.27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$625
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$202.26
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$679.76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+102.1%+$4,104.32
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,835Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$12,739.02
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,458.1
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.97
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+123.8%+$1,651.6
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.45
Houthi strike on Israel before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.85
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$734.72
Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$484.99
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,676.26
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$8,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,020.74
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,576.98
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$15.6
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.5
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$553.16
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.9
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2520%5 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,079.22
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$472.87
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.61
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.55
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,584.34
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$935.05
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$514.99
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+704.1%+$975.46
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+301.7%+$273.27
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,333.41
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.25
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.91
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$161.5
Trump approval >40% on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
US military action on Yemen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$234
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.55
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$276
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.02
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58%+$352.4
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$230
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST170%0 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,452.06
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,599.16
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,725
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,171.72
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.65
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.28
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,956.1
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,130.71
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$6,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,723.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$775.62
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.09
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.97
Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.89
Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Yōko Kamikawa be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$466.11
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$425
Record low border encounters in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.12
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,127.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170.14
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.2
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.73
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$165
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$759
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.69
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+298.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+298.4%+$1,498
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.