AI · resolved market
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea17b1284d10617a57f910b2ea63bdef481b1724a4b899d454ff104bea67b657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,950,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,796,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,950,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb21…e043backed No | 0c | 601,891$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…6e89backed No | 1c | 360,151$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…3361backed No | 0c | 342,730$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 278,536$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 5c | 205,108$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,458.1 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…83dfbacked No | 1c | 189,711$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…e9fcbacked No | 0c | 176,422$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 1c | 139,015$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6f…d4aebacked No | 1c | 126,409$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked No | 0c | 115,929$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 1c | 103,314$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed No | 1c | 99,963$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 2c | 97,814$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…5635backed No | 1c | 95,213$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed No | 2c | 94,096$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…d13bbacked No | 1c | 93,333$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 17c | 87,562$14,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,473.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked No | 50c | 82,393$41,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,273.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 0c | 80,568$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed No | 0c | 76,258$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 40c | 65,403$25,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,479.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked No | 10c | 65,140$6,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,717.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 0c | 65,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 62,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…c5f2backed No | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c521backed No | 0c | 59,880$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2122…c810backed No | 0c | 56,271$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…87efbacked No | 0c | 54,633$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…732cbacked No | 0c | 52,586$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…065bbacked No | 1c | 50,335$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…2f69backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…471bbacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…16f0backed No | 1c | 49,127$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…1476backed No | 3c | 46,765$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…4686backed No | 0c | 46,486$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…0343backed No | 7c | 46,341$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…4598backed No | 0c | 45,667$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…ca29backed No | 3c | 44,617$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…4634backed Yes | 6c | 43,079$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,579.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +915.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…ee86backed No | 0c | 42,950$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 23cpaid | +269.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb0…d4a4backed No | 0c | 42,318$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 0c | 41,891$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…e347backed No | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…9508backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 3c | 39,812$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.94 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 2c | 38,737$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…0658backed No | 2c | 38,510$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 2c | 37,994$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed No | 0c | 35,600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed No | 2c | 35,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…0d72backed No | 0c | 34,829$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…eb6fbacked No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d252backed No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…a4c1backed Yes | 9c | 32,576$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,769.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +407.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…9055backed No | 40c | 32,565$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ba65backed No | 0c | 32,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…1c1dbacked No | 0c | 32,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa3…16cdbacked No | 0c | 29,833$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 4c | 29,757$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,577.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 8c | 29,120$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,801.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 27cpaid | +226%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…7f3bbacked No | 0c | 28,849$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…4bacbacked No | 1c | 28,445$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 1c | 28,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…3c1bbacked No | 1c | 26,968$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…5868backed No | 0c | 26,667$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…525bbacked No | 1c | 26,081$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…8bf4backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked No | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…eceebacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed No | 0c | 24,416$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…3bc0backed No | 0c | 24,375$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…f927backed No | 0c | 24,107$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…258dbacked No | 3c | 23,862$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2c5bbacked No | 1c | 23,564$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 3c | 23,513$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 0c | 23,075$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…dacbbacked No | 0c | 22,677$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed No | 1c | 21,894$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 53c | 21,365$11,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…a273backed Yes | 7c | 21,342$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,789.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed No | 0c | 20,131$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…7308backed No | 0c | 20,088$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…a8f4backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…ead0backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…579ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…ee13backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…0a45backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…5b51backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…5b04backed No | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 1c | 19,230$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc528…73e9backed No | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…cf95backed No | 0c | 17,825$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 17,110$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 1c | 17,031$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1678…22b8backed No | 0c | 16,750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…a8b6backed No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…d12abacked Yes | 14c | 16,600$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,277.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +257.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…0a2dbacked No | 0c | 16,113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?this page
- Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.