AI · resolved market

Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15bf2a1076dee184ef035a851235742bff87e406b7625f6fceb0814fe989aff8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,115,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,353,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,115,695 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e3e…4a75backed Yes	3c	116,988$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	3c	74,830$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267.48	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes	4c	73,572$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	2c	69,117$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.12	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes	1c	64,514$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.17	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+59%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b18…42ecbacked Yes	1c	54,472$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	2c	54,325$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.56	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Yes	2c	53,930$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	50,150$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes	3c	39,325$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	3c	37,000$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.58	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	4c	33,200$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd029…6e16backed Yes	2c	27,293$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	8c	27,169$2,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,098.72	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes	2c	26,651$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.02	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfb…1f69backed Yes	2c	26,577$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.87	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes	2c	25,551$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.9	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-4.6wins	-0.29per pick	47cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47b…a496backed Yes	2c	25,000$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7922…ef61backed Yes	3c	24,529$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…40d8backed Yes	2c	24,152$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	19c	21,796$4,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,111.35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked Yes	1c	21,092$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.09	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes	4c	21,000$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.18	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa433…f198backed Yes	1c	20,199$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc921…c192backed Yes	2c	20,081$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes	2c	20,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+6.3wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+111.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd87b…db63backed Yes	3c	19,987$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a8…d76dbacked Yes	2c	19,562$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.34	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes	3c	19,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	18,955$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.59	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	3cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	3c	17,671$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.96	257	31.5%81 W · 176 L	-14.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes	5c	17,664$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.06	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	38cpaid	-81%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa24f…f655backed Yes	4c	17,336$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	1c	17,077$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.7	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	2c	16,000$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.42	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8476…5418backed Yes	2c	15,210$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.45	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed Yes	2c	13,720$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed Yes	2c	13,351$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	1c	13,303$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.42	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	4c	12,557$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes	3c	12,000$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561f…a932backed Yes	3c	12,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	10,590$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.28	149	1.3%2 W · 147 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	1c	10,393$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.23	63	4.8%3 W · 60 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-90.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfa…07c3backed Yes	2c	10,172$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed Yes	3c	10,000$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.65	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	1c	9,800$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.49	629	1.3%8 W · 621 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-88.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe51…c0d3backed Yes	3c	9,592$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes	3c	8,989$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7038…4838backed Yes	4c	8,627$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x700c…9368backed Yes	3c	8,606$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe821…248fbacked Yes	4c	8,298$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.81	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	8,210$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.81	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4392…68c3backed Yes	2c	8,166$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.58	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3469…c72dbacked Yes	3c	8,121$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…9d21backed Yes	5c	8,082$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes	2c	8,000$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Yes	4c	7,991$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.59	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	19cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c64…25d6backed Yes	2c	7,908$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.3	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-66%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	3c	7,458$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.81	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb8…dafdbacked Yes	3c	7,399$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.63	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes	3c	7,000$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa45b…2f2ebacked Yes	2c	6,963$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes	4c	6,898$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x416e…655dbacked Yes	3c	6,862$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes	37c	6,244$2,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,341	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+3.6wins	+0.30per pick	62cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9519…e0bcbacked Yes	2c	6,050$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes	0c	6,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,932$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed Yes	2c	5,921$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.02	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	5c	5,860$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.03	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad6…c43ebacked Yes	2c	5,602$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bcc…9488backed Yes	1c	5,500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No	67c	5,228$3,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,706.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56af…e2a4backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	14c	4,737$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.78	126	36.5%46 W · 80 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7791…d121backed Yes	1c	4,650$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbd…dde8backed Yes	2c	4,351$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafa…5d32backed Yes	1c	4,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c6…43a5backed Yes	4c	3,700$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.69	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c71…5176backed Yes	3c	3,479$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	2c	3,400$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a1b4backed Yes	3c	3,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c1…1930backed Yes	2c	3,285$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	1c	3,251$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.19	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	1c	3,042$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	54	20.4%11 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…35e5backed Yes	3c	3,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5770…bafcbacked Yes	2c	3,000$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.2	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked Yes	3c	3,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…469cbacked Yes	2c	2,961$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed Yes	3c	2,921$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.67	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a8…0d38backed Yes	3c	2,800$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187a…87ccbacked Yes	1c	2,800$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x861c…0ae5backed Yes	3c	2,741$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0989…1b82backed Yes	2c	2,624$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed Yes	2c	2,598$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	1c	2,576$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.91	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes	4c	2,566$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.8	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event