AI · resolved market
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9885eb9bff8ecfdf54f7344532c7f956b54484b85020b577785c4474cbc7bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,467,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,467,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 1c | 233,452$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 3c | 154,578$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317.95 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 8c | 139,892$11,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,853.91 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 0c | 91,693$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 0c | 62,449$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…3fd4backed Yes | 1c | 44,376$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 0c | 28,189$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…ee13backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…9d73backed Yes | 3c | 19,290$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 11c | 18,699$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 0c | 17,557$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 10c | 12,815$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.86 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 2c | 12,392$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 11,654$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 3c | 11,030$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.25 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 1c | 10,200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…69abbacked Yes | 10c | 9,529$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 1c | 9,303$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 2c | 9,033$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 1c | 8,700$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 1c | 8,463$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 1c | 7,755$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9514backed Yes | 7c | 6,615$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 6,409$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 4c | 5,698$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 1c | 5,405$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 4,415$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…9350backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +107%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 3,454$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 1c | 3,177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 1c | 3,009$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…c102backed Yes | 2c | 2,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 2,929$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…c263backed Yes | 2c | 2,600$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…87ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,074$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 2c | 1,867$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,720$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…dafdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,665$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,660$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,630$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…33cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,528$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 6c | 1,508$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 5c | 1,505$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…5d32backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 7c | 1,353$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…3cfbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,270$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…79e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,183$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…1384backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…1d21backed Yes | 1c | 999.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 5c | 999$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 2c | 991.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…a00fbacked Yes | 1c | 856$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 4c | 799.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 4c | 737.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…e165backed Yes | 5c | 694$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 614.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…547abacked Yes | 4c | 553.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 513$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…5b69backed Yes | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…3d01backed Yes | 4c | 499.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…aa4cbacked Yes | 4c | 491.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 4c | 481.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 4c | 430.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 4c | 430.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 4c | 399.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b3f7backed Yes | 4c | 368.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…d9edbacked Yes | 4c | 368.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4000…c7debacked Yes | 4c | 368.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…bdcdbacked Yes | 4c | 307.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…5107backed Yes | 4c | 299.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…4d48backed Yes | 8c | 286.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Yes | 6c | 249.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 5c | 247$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…7434backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 6c | 197.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…5cc1backed Yes | 7c | 162.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…d27fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?this page
- Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No won
- Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.