AI · resolved market

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6812acca4cae37585e8a8a87950e72c6d626c3c213de46d84e822972132c658a

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $950,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $437,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4843…12bebacked Yes	0c	103,602$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes	2c	67,997$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683.51	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed Yes	0c	67,375$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4747…0658backed Yes	0c	56,085$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	10c	26,411$2,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,693.89	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes	4c	24,936$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.59	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+59%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes	10c	23,075$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8763…6993backed Yes	3c	22,304$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4281…b581backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…d06cbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	5c	19,969$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.15	190	11.6%22 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes	1c	17,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-33%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes	8c	14,916$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.61	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes	2c	14,768$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.45	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa366…2742backed Yes	1c	12,877$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes	4c	11,805$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.39	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d3…dfcdbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdab1…eaa6backed Yes	3c	7,786$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	7,259$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.08	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3742…8be1backed Yes	2c	6,402$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	5,785$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.98	63	4.8%3 W · 60 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-90.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	4c	5,712$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.7	126	36.5%46 W · 80 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	7c	5,411$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.86	257	31.5%81 W · 176 L	-14.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed Yes	5c	5,067$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes	2c	5,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Yes	4c	4,498$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.59	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes	2c	4,200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.4	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	4c	4,192$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.16	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-91.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	2c	4,014$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.57	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	2c	3,781$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	2c	3,056$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	2c	2,861$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.41	54	20.4%11 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes	2c	2,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa440…a2d1backed Yes	7c	2,400$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.27	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50d…4deebacked Yes	13c	2,312$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a66…40f7backed Yes	1c	2,250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	2c	2,206$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	2c	2,131$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,753$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	3cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	2c	1,657$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	1,600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.83	267	4.9%13 W · 254 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	2c	1,600$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a8…d76dbacked Yes	4c	1,507$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	5c	1,380$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.6	183	23%42 W · 141 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	8c	1,266$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.73	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes	11c	1,172$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.83	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf732…d078backed Yes	8c	1,139$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.4	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4fc…a861backed Yes	9c	1,055$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9935…ff83backed Yes	2c	1,020$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d6…e60cbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes	11c	1,000$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed Yes	6c	1,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.49	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Yes	10c	999.98$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes	5c	999.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes	10c	978.66$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.01	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes	5c	975.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8f…dd80backed Yes	2c	941.76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6926…64e7backed Yes	5c	851.66$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c72…a042backed Yes	5c	803.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.66	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…9c6dbacked Yes	6c	722.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa148…909fbacked Yes	4c	678.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e9…a2b9backed Yes	13c	662.06$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.39	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43b…4af1backed Yes	4c	600$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Yes	8c	599.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d5…709bbacked Yes	8c	555.94$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a5…7feabacked Yes	9c	527.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	11c	500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	30cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x346e…cb91backed Yes	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes	6c	499.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	32.3%31 W · 65 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a04…e06fbacked Yes	4c	469.94$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…658ebacked Yes	4c	435.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed Yes	6c	432.46$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	417.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	574	26.8%154 W · 420 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c3…de1dbacked Yes	5c	415.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d6…de6dbacked Yes	5c	415.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes	5c	400.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	7c	400$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	288	26.7%77 W · 211 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3a…9609backed Yes	4c	400$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes	4c	383.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes	6c	379.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5f…115fbacked Yes	5c	373.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…7a9ebacked Yes	5c	370.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	6c	364.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db5…d5a6backed Yes	7c	353.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	8c	330.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.47	149	1.3%2 W · 147 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	9c	320$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a1…d567backed Yes	4c	309.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes	5c	308.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9285…4d48backed Yes	8c	307.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Yes	7c	304.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	40cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	8c	300$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	93	33.3%31 W · 62 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	70	24.3%17 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa730…dd50backed Yes	5c	290.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388e…2078backed Yes	6c	286.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae9…7473backed Yes	4c	261.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	8c	250.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event