TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,902,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,845,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,902,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa0f…ab1cbacked Yes3c517,747$18,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,117.7250%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c0…55ffbacked Yes0c221,176$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…295ebacked Yes17c175,124$29,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,271.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Yes12c134,980$16,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,298.04742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes13c121,284$16,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,159.761926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes16c100,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes16c89,841$14,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,224.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed Yes16c89,574$14,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,207.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed Yes0c58,880$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes12c52,360$6,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,486.084540%18 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes13c48,351$6,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,155.895843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes15c45,337$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.921566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes12c34,640$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf3…eac3backed Yes0c33,793$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66d4…ae10backed Yes15c33,000$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.331735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed Yes15c29,594$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes0c28,021$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0280%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes13c26,923$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.98128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes17c24,034$4,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.625731.5%81 W · 176 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes12c24,000$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.982450%12 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17a5…e00abacked Yes0c21,377$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.782828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes17c20,081$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.846328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfa…07c3backed Yes14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf51…4b53backed Yes8c19,857$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.9270%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes17c17,163$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes16c16,000$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.251838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d3…dfcdbacked Yes0c15,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes14c15,000$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.5710426.9%28 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e3…f4a0backed No80c14,054$11,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.211861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes14c12,194$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes13c11,162$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.512733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes14c10,840$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.652763%17 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6f11…af68backed Yes1c10,163$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc023…ccf8backed Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200170%0 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.993215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked Yes14c9,538$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.971816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes21c9,534$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.4190%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes11c9,175$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.2150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes11c9,103$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.182626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5c…0c2abacked Yes17c8,900$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4392…68c3backed Yes15c8,166$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-85.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes17c8,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3602040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes3c7,917$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220240%0 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes15c7,777$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.542133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes16c7,731$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.92025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3000…9d73backed Yes14c7,444$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes8c6,825$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.013212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d92…e287backed Yes16c6,756$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-83.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes1c6,675$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes13c6,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2e…98afbacked Yes13c5,956$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes11c5,275$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.3512639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Yes12c5,200$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd6…e41dbacked Yes0c5,033$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a8…7de4backed Yes13c4,958$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes19c4,661$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes15c4,466$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9910723.4%25 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes16c4,413$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…469cbacked Yes19c4,177$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba3e…c102backed Yes12c4,001$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402548%12 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes16c4,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes15c3,908$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5986434.4%22 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+100.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes14c3,810$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.118543.5%37 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes14c3,773$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.342416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-75.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4407…0e24backed Yes14c3,646$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-82.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes13c3,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf75…7018backed Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes13c3,118$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.354850%24 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Yes13c3,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes17c3,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011720.5%24 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933f…d300backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51090%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011850%59 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc51d…3ca1backed Yes21c2,746$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.971435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes11c2,718$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.031921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd772…ceb5backed Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes11c2,495$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.81634.8%3 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-90.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes15c2,327$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.274843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb28c…be33backed Yes16c2,316$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.83825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d4…2b0dbacked Yes18c2,256$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5039…946dbacked Yes15c2,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes13c2,115$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes12c2,044$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b2…15b5backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c2…f1d3backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-74.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes16c1,981$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.91625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes16c1,978$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.78214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-91.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5464…af99backed Yes12c1,971$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.561233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a0…0bcfbacked Yes12c1,930$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8514…360bbacked Yes12c1,800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes18c1,794$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.21911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63b1…6e40backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes17c1,752$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.77922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f0…051fbacked Yes12c1,718$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1190%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.