TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaab…e6f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$672.03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$2,589.28
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$706
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$239.6
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$579.75
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$318.05
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$582.77
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.1%+$197.93
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+76.8%+$384.17
Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$114.69
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+354.5%+$155.99
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,034Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+27.8%+$565.16
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+488.2%+$2,441.18
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$309
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,535
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+505.1%+$20,928.8
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+412.5%+$1,650
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.54
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.89
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,629.2
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$503.66
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$1,951
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$1,408.82
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$302.72
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$702.68
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$680.7
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.4
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$450.78
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$196.9
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$311
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$108.62
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.27
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-82.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$948.4
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$117.7
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,531.98
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$633.55
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,401.9
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,363.41
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17,769.7
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,779.99
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$739.37
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+106.4%+$2,106.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,743.19
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,704
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$6,606.55
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$745.93
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+407.6%+$803
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$909.99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$96.78
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$178
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$187.03
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$239.72
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,396Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+50.2%+$6,217.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+106.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$765
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12,845
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+65.6%+$1,131.05
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,571Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.8%+$2,029.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.65
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$2,459.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,804Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.2%+$2,025.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane vs. Templebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$3,698.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aster all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$1,172.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25.2%+$1,577.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.