Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6789c9431c99e009b89dc785b649472850e0bb0f89dd3793c8b5dd3acf28ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 6c | 40,864$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.82 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Yes | 8c | 22,982$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 0c | 13,154$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 8,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 6c | 7,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 6,686$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,923$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 8c | 4,171$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,050$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 9c | 3,199$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 7c | 2,990$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,603$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,979$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,579$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,528$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 7c | 1,342$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,099$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 1,073$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 7c | 1,019$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 6c | 999.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…4691backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 2c | 661.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 7c | 493.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 9c | 484$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…720cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…2ea6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…5c69backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…641cbacked Yes | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 7c | 263.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes | 9c | 240.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 8c | 197.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 149.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked Yes | 7c | 144$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
- Will Burnley FC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.