TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$516,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$615,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed No22c102,400$22,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,310.47542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes78c85,632$66,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,838.986357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No22c40,099$8,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,820.8511838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes78c23,556$18,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.0120039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No21c21,218$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.7610335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes78c20,953$16,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.071,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed No21c20,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes80c18,617$14,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.654050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No23c13,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.9831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No22c12,786$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.9410236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes79c11,375$8,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.754264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No17c11,354$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.986,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No20c11,161$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.7330851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No21c8,568$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.2215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No20c8,466$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.2721154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No3c7,296$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.776015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No22c7,155$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.6935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes77c6,883$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.015641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.267060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No20c5,182$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.6529253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No21c5,067$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.9810849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes79c4,321$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.452524%6 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Yes78c4,226$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.752373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No22c3,992$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.3240046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Yes79c3,800$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No22c3,400$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7482548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes78c3,162$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.624456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes78c2,972$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.0327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No12c2,773$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes77c2,603$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.588155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594c…d256backed Yes77c2,600$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5981127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No23c2,550$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No20c2,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes79c2,318$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.832429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes77c2,200$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No21c2,109$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.972250%11 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes75c2,004$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.3541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…44a2backed Yes79c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes78c1,682$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes79c1,600$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33619729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe220…0aaebacked Yes79c1,526$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.562755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes78c1,283$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes78c1,270$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.298743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.824560%27 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e43…6170backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8210962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No24c1,252$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.427448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No5c1,157$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.859450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No22c1,102$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.889263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No23c999.6$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9229427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Yes78c988$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f8…8908backed No6c988$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e7…ed30backed Yes78c964.31$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.153100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes77c945.79$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…bee0backed Yes78c895.74$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.691838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11a4…23bcbacked Yes78c838.12$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No22c814.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Yes78c806.41$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Yes78c756.41$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.411275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No21c706.38$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.347035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x939d…b588backed Yes77c699.91$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.98825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No21c666.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac4…abafbacked Yes78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes80c633.75$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb0…d24fbacked Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.915364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c2…e902backed Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.913100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.914650%23 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e5…f3ebbacked Yes80c623.89$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes79c573$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf23b…4957backed Yes79c561.22$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No21c557.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…c7a2backed Yes79c553.16$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes78c540.04$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.816046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No21c524.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99a…cfb2backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes79c509.75$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.353246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…fe31backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed No23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No23c499.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes79c486.06$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes79c468.35$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.353850%19 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes79c380.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.87846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92c7…0e11backed Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes78c359.58$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1112545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes79c354.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4318562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.