TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc097…720c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10135.6%36 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+208%+$39.52
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$10.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+215.1%+$32.27
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$55.93
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$62.33
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+59.8%+$14.94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.