Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e69240f24d3b0bcd5763f7b0c8279d452ddec4aed40c99f542a0d75461e7913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,350,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,352,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,350,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 669 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 37c | 366,109$136,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,789.92 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 64c | 251,992$161,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,804.91 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 141,749$88,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,223.88 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 63c | 104,558$65,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,082.11 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 57,334$20,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,810.63 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 51,494$33,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,672.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 44,109$28,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,768.73 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 39,013$14,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,163.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,349.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 31,719$22,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 63c | 27,215$17,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,130.67 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 36c | 26,470$9,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,509.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 63c | 23,000$14,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,559.94 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 22,082$8,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,313.27 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 20,500$13,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359.97 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 36c | 20,008$7,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,282.83 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…aa76backed Yes | 37c | 18,851$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 63c | 15,892$10,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.03 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 36c | 15,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.98 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 38c | 14,487$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 64c | 14,242$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 38c | 13,921$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.54 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 37c | 13,023$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 63c | 11,677$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.38 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Yes | 37c | 9,769$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 37c | 9,459$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 9,343$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 20c | 9,216$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 66c | 9,000$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 36c | 8,107$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.36 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,971$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 37c | 7,183$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.75 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 65c | 6,835$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.71 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 36c | 6,105$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.68 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 63c | 6,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 35c | 5,746$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.38 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 37c | 5,671$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.75 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 33c | 5,415$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.32 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 37c | 5,400$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 36c | 5,269$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 5,209$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.8 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…c1e3backed No | 68c | 4,874$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 4,442$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.28 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 36c | 4,249$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.71 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 18c | 3,750$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 65c | 3,498$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.32 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,400$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 3,349$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.29 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 34c | 3,192$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 36c | 3,100$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…29cabacked No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 36c | 2,908$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.88 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,895$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 32c | 2,880$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…58ebbacked Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 37c | 2,751$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 37c | 2,734$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…137cbacked No | 65c | 2,708$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,708$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…8cb9backed Yes | 35c | 2,687$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 19c | 2,651$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 63c | 2,559$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.89 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 67c | 2,468$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 23c | 2,443$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 63c | 2,440$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…418ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,434$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 2,393$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.57 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 63c | 2,026$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.72 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…ba53backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe716…3120backed Yes | 36c | 1,944$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393b…06c0backed Yes | 37c | 1,932$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 63c | 1,911$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.07 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 38c | 1,860$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 33c | 1,791$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.16 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 74c | 1,779$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 34c | 1,727$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.55 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.