Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf384acc2d35e6cedbb7c4885035a40c112ca6ed295d16a876455193102628f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes | 27c | 26,829$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,243.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 26,596$19,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,035.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 73c | 23,646$17,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.77 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 27c | 18,518$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 28c | 14,579$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 14,065$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.88 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 73c | 13,875$10,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.25 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 8,446$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 25c | 7,909$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 7,100$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes | 26c | 6,912$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Yes | 26c | 6,842$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 27c | 6,183$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 5,696$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.69 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 5,612$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 5,048$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.9 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 4,500$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 3,565$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.83 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 27c | 2,892$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…7aa5backed Yes | 26c | 2,796$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,603$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,494$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.44 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…51a0backed No | 74c | 2,356$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 2,260$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.89 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Yes | 27c | 2,167$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 74c | 2,016$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 73c | 1,962$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.24 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 1,498$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.48 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 1,466$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 1,429$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 27c | 1,374$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,220$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…c7b1backed Yes | 28c | 1,122$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,100$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 1,036$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yes | 26c | 930.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 27c | 873.78$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 814.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 73c | 807$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Yes | 27c | 784.96$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 74c | 777.03$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 75c | 646.52$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Yes | 27c | 638$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 26c | 599.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 567.57$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 10c | 534$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…29dcbacked Yes | 27c | 524.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…452ebacked Yes | 27c | 524.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 26c | 523$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 485.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…fdebbacked No | 73c | 434.25$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 28c | 411$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 27c | 391.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 27c | 376.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…f171backed No | 73c | 372.6$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 26c | 371.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 27c | 359.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 27c | 356.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked No | 74c | 355$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 353.28$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 12c | 330$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…9f79backed No | 73c | 321.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 26c | 316.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…c6cfbacked No | 73c | 306.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…c178backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 290$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 76c | 271.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 23c | 271.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 26c | 265.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 27c | 261.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 261.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 71c | 255.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 73c | 251.75$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c66backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 17c | 242.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.