Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd85e13c75112e1ebfd9ebe7c6ae96621ad6f983395069a0d42245aea5effea46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,446,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,649,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,446,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 803 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 62c | 134,243$83,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,230.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Yes | 72c | 130,000$94,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,822.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 39c | 128,916$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,916.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 37c | 103,531$38,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,059.93 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed No | 63c | 72,575$45,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,722.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 61c | 68,684$41,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,896.95 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 55,834$21,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,594.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 27c | 46,276$12,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,686.99 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 34,752$13,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,102.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 33,654$11,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,176.14 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 38c | 30,300$11,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,786 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 30,014$11,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,592.72 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 27,351$16,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,617.64 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 38c | 25,000$9,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,465.97 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 63c | 24,859$15,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,617.33 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 37c | 21,805$8,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,067.85 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 25c | 21,309$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.11 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 61c | 18,102$11,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,086.61 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 62c | 16,000$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,920 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed No | 61c | 15,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 63c | 12,257$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 41c | 11,976$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,108.71 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 11,771$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 38c | 11,074$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.22 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Yes | 38c | 10,539$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.97 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 39c | 9,053$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.85 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Yes | 62c | 8,100$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 38c | 7,852$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,881.79 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 60c | 7,830$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.31 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked No | 62c | 7,714$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 6,845$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.73 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 6,100$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.87 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 26c | 6,059$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.29 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 6,045$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.4 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…3dcebacked No | 63c | 6,011$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 45c | 5,680$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.51 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 37c | 5,380$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.55 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 61c | 5,106$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.6 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 61c | 5,039$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.79 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 5,012$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.14 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 54c | 4,653$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 46c | 4,500$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 78c | 4,300$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.08 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 38c | 3,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.89 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 3,857$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.15 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 61c | 3,774$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.98 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 37c | 3,459$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 3,415$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.11 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Yes | 39c | 3,387$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…ba53backed No | 62c | 3,352$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 66c | 3,273$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.62 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 37c | 3,222$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.58 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.73 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.93 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 37c | 2,662$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 37c | 2,600$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 2,560$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.6 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 37c | 2,551$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.13 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 62c | 2,293$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.47 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 38c | 2,288$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed No | 62c | 2,258$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 51c | 2,166$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed No | 62c | 2,140$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 39c | 2,021$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.07 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,969$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.33 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 41c | 1,956$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Yes | 39c | 1,861$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yes | 38c | 1,841$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,816$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.78 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 78c | 1,799$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.07 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,747$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.81 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Yes | 57c | 1,744$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 38c | 1,711$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 62c | 1,657$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.48 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…d29dbacked No | 61c | 1,650$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…6485backed Yes | 39c | 1,620$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 31c | 1,617$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…b642backed Yes | 69c | 1,576$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked No | 38c | 1,562$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Yes | 80c | 1,502$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.