TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x132e…c724

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3050%15 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$7,536.77
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+97.6%+$1,069.54
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+53.2%+$296.25
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$445.07
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46.92
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+27.1%+$202.46
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$424.2
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$173.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$30.66
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+233.3%+$448
Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$405.42
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+153.2%+$726
Brighton vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+52.9%+$220.42
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$266.79
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$36.43
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.61
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+394.3%+$558.45
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.32
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$569.07
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$1,058.85
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+34%+$507.14
Will West Ham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$390.96
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,568Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$1,431.94
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.17
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.68
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Eagles backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.