Earnings · resolved market
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4fc7085019ffdf2c9c0c70581d16340c4e99b85d091dfbec32340c81785eb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 1,660$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.66 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 68c | 1,200$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 69c | 569.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 562.74$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 17c | 350.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 80c | 343.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 30c | 338.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed No | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…1a3bbacked No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 16c | 257.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed No | 41c | 245.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 76c | 244.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked No | 42c | 240.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…eb69backed No | 21c | 206.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…13b1backed No | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 67c | 139.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 67c | 129.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked No | 31c | 129.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…ff0ebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 18c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf204…e255backed No | 20c | 105.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…0864backed No | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 22c | 101.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 20c | 92.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 19c | 64.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 76c | 59.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 30c | 53.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 40c | 50.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…cda2backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…4325backed No | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…59efbacked No | 30c | 34.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965a…50b3backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…4f3ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…5a5cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…b5fcbacked No | 42c | 26.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 76c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…0972backed Yes | 79c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…c005backed Yes | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…645fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.