TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No15c60,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes28c21,265$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,265.033246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No72c14,703$10,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,653.363748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c11,068$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,943.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes63c10,404$6,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.9267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c8,898$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,455.981,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No43c7,100$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0706435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No73c6,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,379.959859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No73c5,209$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,802.223348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23ac…caedbacked No74c5,181$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.94650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c5,006$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.071,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c3,967$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.482,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c3,790$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.869763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes27c3,610$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.5935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c3,222$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.351,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes27c3,215$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.9225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c3,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.5290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5249…848fbacked Yes27c2,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2697…cacabacked No72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No73c2,498$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.433672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No19c2,000$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8913841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c1,695$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.8939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No47c1,545$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.1142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No72c1,526$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.3914147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa485…5152backed Yes80c1,398$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9269…9abfbacked Yes27c1,184$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes11c1,182$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.8217428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes28c1,118$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.867332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c1,099$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.2714754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Yes10c1,038$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.453030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4112345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c1,020$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes19c1,018$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.3627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes13c930.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.248040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ae…63d1backed Yes11c909.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes11c909.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.095825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No73c903.06$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.369246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes10c899.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.834652.2%24 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes49c885.32$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.555754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No73c821.92$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Yes17c800.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.282850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b34…81c8backed Yes14c800$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes27c700$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51122125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No46c689.1$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes42c673.57$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.981,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x132e…c724backed No78c540.4$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.23050%15 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c520.44$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.481,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No73c490.63$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2318551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes22c464.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.285141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes47c426.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.65455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c426.39$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2626229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc140…4e98backed Yes24c425$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c415.73$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes26c396.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.154535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes78c386$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0143241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3719826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes71c370.04$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.713167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No58c359.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4713249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fec…60b3backed No73c358.9$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aeb…6f92backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No52c353.62$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8814252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…269fbacked No73c353.42$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes27c325.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9336036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Yes27c319.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.142326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No73c318.51$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.882552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes27c314$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes22c306.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2197830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7b…8e33backed Yes25c291.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c291$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes27c286.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0730050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No57c277.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes79c270.86$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.883246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…a196backed No73c257.53$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Yes27c255.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes12c248.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.91957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes27c232$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3613543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes42c230$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes11c227.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.273336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No43c208.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Yes74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c201.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.764,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14614945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14615350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc791…63e7backed No73c193.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f61…9131backed Yes50c186.03$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes29c185.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.751,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes33c179.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.986738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes26c179.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.522326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5711446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes58c177.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.596262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked No65c171.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.344847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.