Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c2f55f5ec918c02cf302c9ded37ade2c4ac749c80b7896235671e29eba8aaa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,096,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 138,306$54,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,990.39 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 39c | 117,411$45,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,636.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 69,118$45,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,342.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 49,476$31,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,104.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 61c | 40,146$24,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,659.74 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 61c | 32,426$19,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,544.81 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 30,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 29,264$11,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,107.58 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 59c | 28,926$17,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,859.5 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 62c | 25,019$15,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,507.41 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 61c | 23,275$14,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,077.25 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 61c | 23,000$13,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.87 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 40c | 20,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 43c | 19,221$8,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,355.72 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 60c | 18,888$11,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 61c | 17,212$10,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.34 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 16,474$11,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.14 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 60c | 14,200$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 60c | 13,730$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.7 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 12,414$7,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.34 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 19c | 12,400$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.93 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 60c | 11,364$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.13 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 39c | 10,842$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 61c | 10,697$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 39c | 10,549$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.71 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 13c | 7,044$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 60c | 6,361$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.7 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 61c | 5,707$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.32 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 60c | 5,390$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.4 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 61c | 4,871$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.39 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 41c | 4,814$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.63 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 73c | 4,082$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.46 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…9a2bbacked Yes | 40c | 4,006$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.95 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 61c | 3,992$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 3,900$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,548$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 39c | 3,284$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.13 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 3,090$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.02 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 60c | 3,005$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.85 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 23c | 2,703$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.43 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 2,500$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.15 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 60c | 2,389$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 5c | 2,383$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 63c | 2,275$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…63d1backed Yes | 6c | 2,242$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 14c | 2,080$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,078$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0b44backed Yes | 20c | 2,013$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0883…f9cbbacked Yes | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,949$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 32c | 1,876$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 61c | 1,697$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.83 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 75c | 1,676$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.17 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 29c | 1,658$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.82 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 40c | 1,578$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…020bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 61c | 1,500$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 1,426$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.26 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 65c | 1,399$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.58 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 62c | 1,348$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.84 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 11c | 1,332$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 1,293$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 1,228$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 36c | 1,210$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.57 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes | 38c | 1,196$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 1,176$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…52eebacked Yes | 39c | 1,118$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…4e98backed Yes | 41c | 1,076$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 39c | 1,058$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed No | 62c | 1,003$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 38c | 1,003$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.