Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c97c21ca7352e000f244be2273d2c5b5ba47369324ac2eedd28811c092b896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 66c | 95,746$63,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,738.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 60,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 32,846$15,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,761.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 36c | 27,780$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.95 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 1c | 17,739$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 65c | 17,599$11,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 65c | 16,996$11,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,001.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 15,215$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.72 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 12,268$7,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.63 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 10,620$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.16 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 15c | 8,260$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 35c | 7,600$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 7,403$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 16c | 6,151$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.87 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 28c | 6,025$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.13 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed No | 77c | 5,435$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes | 34c | 5,327$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 43c | 4,900$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 71c | 4,895$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.05 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 53c | 4,431$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.54 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,882$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.88 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 3,369$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 34c | 3,281$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.91 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 67c | 3,056$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.61 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.95 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 2,993$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…8e0bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,750$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 26c | 2,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.98 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 64c | 2,360$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.25 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 2,228$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.53 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.95 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 35c | 2,050$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 27c | 1,942$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 78c | 1,942$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.4 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 60c | 1,860$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.95 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 1,715$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.33 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,676$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 26c | 1,638$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 34c | 1,567$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.22 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…8367backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,465$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.97 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 1,428$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.71 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 36c | 1,353$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.03 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 16c | 1,347$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 65c | 1,312$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.3 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 1,130$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe475…9a24backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…1f24backed Yes | 24c | 1,019$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,013$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.55 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 37c | 1,003$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 854$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.47 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 811.1$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.62 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4795…0fb0backed Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 65c | 717.56$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…ea07backed No | 67c | 671.72$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 73c | 665.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 39c | 651$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…d47abacked Yes | 68c | 621.62$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked No | 40c | 619.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 34c | 599.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 57c | 576.35$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 565.72$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 79c | 553.72$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.15 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 36c | 553.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 65c | 551.62$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…0f89backed No | 67c | 544.49$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed No | 45c | 499.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 65c | 484.62$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 45c | 475.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.46 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ec1ebacked Yes | 17c | 470.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 456$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 24c | 417.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 11c | 407.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.