TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6aa…93f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST6618.2%12 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.91
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.34
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$122.86
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53.49
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$110.31
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+547%+$492.31
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.67
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+488.2%+$97.65
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+272.2%+$54.45
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60.84
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+106%+$40.58
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$180.25
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$334
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$72.15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.5%+$242.41
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+185.7%+$225.29
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+284.6%+$132.52
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40.77
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Cameroon vs. Gabon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+32.2%+$16.08
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Will Morocco vs. Comoros end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$42.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.