Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b38e5d13da127f1745105145be256205b39c8fdb6245d1e613f33ccdcbd5d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 35c | 24,528$8,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,584.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 57c | 7,010$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.57 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 61c | 3,651$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.34 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 3,611$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 3,524$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.8 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 2,870$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.33 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 37c | 2,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Yes | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 63c | 2,604$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.18 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 1,827$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.72 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked No | 63c | 1,350$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked No | 63c | 1,350$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 43c | 1,165$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,083$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.69 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 37c | 1,058$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 922.42$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 64c | 622.26$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 582$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 436.94$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Yes | 62c | 414.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 40c | 377.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 40c | 376.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…7641backed Yes | 31c | 365.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 365$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 40c | 341.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 43c | 335.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 36c | 330$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 62c | 312.3$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 56c | 311.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 311.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 16c | 289.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes | 19c | 286.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 283.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 36c | 280.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 62c | 263.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 39c | 256.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 43c | 247.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Yes | 22c | 247.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 40c | 237.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes | 37c | 221.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 15c | 205.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 33c | 152.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 61c | 142.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes | 36c | 113.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 62c | 104.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 39c | 103.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 102.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…41b5backed Yes | 62c | 96.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…8a1abacked Yes | 16c | 94.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…2337backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked No | 63c | 70.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…8ad2backed Yes | 43c | 56.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…4767backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9cf5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 60c | 51.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 39c | 51.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 63c | 49.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 48.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…7253backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 59c | 36.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Uganda vs. Tanzania end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.