TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes35c24,528$8,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,584.83441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No57c7,010$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.576132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No61c3,651$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.349636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c3,611$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c3,524$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.830031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c2,870$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.3376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes37c2,706$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Yes37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c2,604$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.1829343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes30c1,827$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.7234630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked No63c1,350$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked No63c1,350$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes43c1,165$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.083956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes28c1,083$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.693132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No37c1,058$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.931450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c922.42$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No64c622.26$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.095154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No73c582$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1818641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c436.94$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.461,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed Yes62c414.99$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.291225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Yes44c397.73$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes40c377.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes40c376.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x100b…7641backed Yes31c365.3$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c365$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No40c341.63$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.487034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes43c335.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14514052.1%73 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes36c330$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No62c312.3$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.677045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes56c311.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.646237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c311.11$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes16c289.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.551822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes19c286.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.552236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes31c283.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.852,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes36c280.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes35c280$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983225%8 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No62c263.37$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0814537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes39c256.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes43c247.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.644344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Yes22c247.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6418…f8a6backed Yes40c237.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes37c221.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.882035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes15c205.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes33c152.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.332030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No61c142.77$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.715930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes36c113.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No62c104.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.419845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes39c103.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.22040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c102.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3901…41b5backed Yes62c96.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+119.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Yes35c96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2879…8a1abacked Yes16c94.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.14751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd41…2337backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes34c71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.143141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked No63c70.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.062025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Yes39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x536f…8ad2backed Yes43c56.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6e…4767backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No62c54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5212945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…9cf5backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed No60c51.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes39c51.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes63c49.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.126330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No63c48.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6616841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked No65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+82.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes59c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.178332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No59c36.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9213131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.686852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No74c29.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed No65c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.