Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uganda vs. Tanzania end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113e8a1d9c97cafd222e3479dad62ae42200c36936ff71f40b8d5065f8a642e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 8c | 19,858$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 10c | 19,213$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.28 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 9,410$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.23 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 5,401$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 3,186$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.12 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,333$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.72 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 31c | 2,223$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…204dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,342$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,014$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 38c | 998.54$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.35 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 69c | 946.18$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.03 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 40c | 911.88$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 26c | 635.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 633.81$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.01 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 73c | 509.35$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 36c | 495$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 36c | 425.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 74c | 396.42$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 385.61$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 329.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 317.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 294.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed Yes | 77c | 268$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 40c | 257.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes | 46c | 202.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 51c | 192.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 34c | 191.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 20c | 160.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 36c | 156$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed No | 10c | 154.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 63c | 144$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 70c | 142.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes | 46c | 142$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 48c | 125.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 49c | 93.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 34c | 87.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 67c | 84.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 71c | 70.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 70.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 44c | 59.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 33c | 59.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2a49backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…87eebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…cca8backed Yes | 73c | 44.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 42c | 40.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…f9c0backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 66c | 37.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed No | 66c | 33.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Yes | 53c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed Yes | 77c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uganda vs. Tanzania end in a draw?this page
- Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.