TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23ff…94f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.63
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+150%+$39.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.7
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+104.2%+$40.19
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+170.7%+$266.73
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$47.21
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+80.3%+$92.18
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+90.6%+$29.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+54.5%+$28.91
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$84.45
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31.42
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$76.51
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$32.67
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$102.94
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$64.83
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$33.71
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+304.8%+$60.35
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+268%+$106.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$168.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$112.11
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$87.8
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$37.92
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.61
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.31
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.31
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.31
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+216.9%+$497.31
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$319.59
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.88
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.26
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.76
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$21.7
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.18
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$24.55
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$41.87
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.34
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$44.23
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.47
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.24
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.54
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33.91
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+101.7%+$14.7
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$58.42
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$16.93
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.08
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.54
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+219.6%+$124.86
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$123.69
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$136.83
Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$121.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.32
Will Uganda vs. Tanzania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+86.9%+$12.97
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.21
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.88
Will Cameroon vs. Gabon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.41
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.15
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$36.03
Will Angola win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.33
Will South Africa vs. Angola end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.05
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.35
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$56.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.4%+$10.39
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$42.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.