NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe2aaf8f2c968e102d6aac7412e7924a5eee0feae580294f00528918097026c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Clippers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 50c | 19,931$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.74 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Rockets | 55c | 18,095$9,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,951.38 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 47c | 10,436$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 45c | 4,961$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 46c | 2,977$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Clippers | 54c | 2,739$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.94 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 46c | 1,956$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.76 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 42c | 1,847$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Clippers | 59c | 1,114$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Clippers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Rockets | 45c | 843.11$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.4 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Clippers | 58c | 675.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.81 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Clippers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Rockets | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Clippers | 52c | 457.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Clippers | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Clippers | 55c | 365.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rockets | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…8ce4backed Clippers | 52c | 192.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Clippers | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Clippers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Clippers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Clippers | 54c | 82.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Clippers | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rockets | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…907abacked Clippers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…be25backed Rockets | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 54c | 49.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Rockets | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Clippers | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Clippers | 54c | 41.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 53c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Clippers | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Clippers | 54c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Clippers | 54c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Clippers | 55c | 35.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Clippers | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…0bcabacked Clippers | 54c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Clippers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.