NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2411f847eabb4c1ba8ec321f6a7cfbdc1ed617833e565ba00debe761ad733782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Clippers | 49c | 32,752$16,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,568.08 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Clippers | 48c | 20,399$9,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,612.93 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 51c | 18,470$9,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,511.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 51c | 12,829$6,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,562.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 50c | 6,394$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 55c | 4,550$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 47c | 1,814$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Rockets | 54c | 1,620$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.28 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.69 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Rockets | 52c | 1,537$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 51c | 1,400$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.4 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Rockets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Clippers | 47c | 936.8$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Rockets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 47c | 633$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Rockets | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Rockets | 51c | 457.14$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers | 44c | 437$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed Clippers | 51c | 369.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Rockets | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Rockets | 52c | 270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Clippers | 72c | 206$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Rockets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Rockets | 53c | 187.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers | 46c | 139.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Clippers | 54c | 129.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 47c | 104.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked Rockets | 54c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Rockets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Clippers | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Rockets | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 46c | 77.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Clippers | 47c | 71.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Rockets | 62c | 67.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Rockets | 53c | 65.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Rockets | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 45c | 53.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Clippers | 74c | 43.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Rockets | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Rockets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Rockets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…c85fbacked Rockets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Rockets | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Clippers | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Rockets | 53c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.