NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd650b10f744f6c1d2d6b1b5705168d14b73b9eb81d813946d84d3eea51412219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 3,245$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.84 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 1,597$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.28 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 55c | 1,064$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 37c | 849.92$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.95 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 20c | 611.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 51c | 558.82$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 541.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…421cbacked Over | 80c | 474.15$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 44c | 391.35$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 378$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 371.82$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 253.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Over | 49c | 219.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…faa6backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 206$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 52c | 192.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Over | 48c | 187.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 62c | 123$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 61c | 76.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…ce8abacked Over | 47c | 69.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 61c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 59.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 44.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Over | 49c | 40.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…27cabacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…9dcebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 43c | 27.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 47c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.