NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b685b9fa7ed4fb929b859b0912d7a1017f7cddb3b88beeca3011e64d779010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 10,697$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 10,005$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.84 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 9,212$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.49 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 49c | 6,795$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 4,873$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.47 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 51c | 4,474$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.24 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 51c | 4,272$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.39 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 51c | 3,209$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.42 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,622$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 48c | 854.17$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.17 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 48c | 813.96$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.26 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 571$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 54c | 505$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 171$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 154.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…d77abacked Over | 48c | 122.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…b73abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Over | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Under | 25c | 90.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 75c | 75.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…3b95backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Over | 51c | 44.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.