NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d614034b6b572bd9b42734f99f70b9ea6a135f34ce15ad4b8aada19374428b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 49c | 53,929$26,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,425.19 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Over | 51c | 20,500$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,045 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 18,278$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 51c | 3,331$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.19 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,010$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 941.83$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 51c | 760.78$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.78 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 51c | 219.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 178.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…115abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…18d2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…4ac5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…b097backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Over | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d6a4backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.