NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71c28cf491fdcb390e267e5be61c80486c2ca72000bf649c89b1ace7c4aef683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 35c | 1,156$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets | 64c | 608.97$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.47 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 64c | 543.13$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Rockets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Rockets | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Rockets | 68c | 210$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Clippers | 33c | 168$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Rockets | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Clippers | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Clippers | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Clippers | 33c | 89.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Clippers | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Clippers | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Rockets | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 32c | 36.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Rockets | 67c | 19.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Rockets | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…3e63backed Rockets | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.