TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$924,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$924,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Clippers53c531,599$281,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249,842.2610049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rockets47c400,000$188,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Clippers53c280,209$148,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,954.4187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets47c175,000$82,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,2501,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets47c53,782$25,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,492.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rockets47c44,864$21,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,041.242,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets46c40,390$18,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,780.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets47c36,000$16,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,7902,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Clippers54c10,741$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.7419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Rockets47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets48c8,550$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.241,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets48c8,249$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers50c7,818$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.1672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets48c7,542$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,644.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets47c7,023$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.9252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets47c6,997$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Rockets52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12011242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets48c6,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers52c5,078$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.2917348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Clippers51c5,030$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.6551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rockets51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Clippers53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets47c4,948$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.6259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets52c4,808$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers49c4,732$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.1748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Rockets50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rockets47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets47c3,626$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.091,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Rockets47c2,898$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.9436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets48c2,746$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Rockets50c2,412$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Rockets47c2,384$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.473256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets48c2,181$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.881,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets47c2,136$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.952,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Clippers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Rockets51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.4980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers52c2,025$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.881,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets48c1,973$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.182,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets48c1,931$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.881,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Rockets51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Clippers49c1,500$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.488742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets50c1,374$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.362,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.92,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Rockets49c1,145$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.6452643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets51c1,042$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets47c940$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Clippers53c830.19$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1921152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Rockets52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Clippers49c744.06$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4715653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Clippers54c674.73$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.133850%19 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Rockets47c639$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Rockets48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Rockets50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers50c599.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rockets48c565.74$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Clippers51c442$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7423248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Rockets49c414$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.866949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Rockets50c400.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005062%31 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rockets51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Rockets49c383.1$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7221753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Rockets47c328$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets50c324$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.721,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Rockets51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9921749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Rockets50c292.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14611642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67f9…4341backed Rockets52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Rockets51c256.46$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.663745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Rockets49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Rockets52c240.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers48c234.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.874,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Clippers51c217.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.651586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc3…93bbbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Rockets47c197.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.69450%47 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Rockets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011652.6%61 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Rockets50c196.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0418954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Rockets52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets47c189.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9062450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Rockets38c186.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.125034%17 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Rockets48c162.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…db87backed Rockets31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Rockets52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Clippers49c141.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5123948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Clippers53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0881845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets48c126.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.163,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed Clippers52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Rockets48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9251451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers51c103$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.471,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Rockets49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Rockets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Rockets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5152242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Rockets62c96.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.