NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c7be32e337ef560ab82b106e334dde777e4b22aa4e01db1847caa8bcd7b1f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…02e2backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,111$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 970.6$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 36c | 749.85$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.9 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 57c | 438$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 297$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 37c | 162.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 63c | 135.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 37c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 39c | 48.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 40.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 44c | 23.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Under | 56c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Clippers won
- Rockets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.