NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c5d0fb6d7680b20c131c655008b6f78028d6eafdd991a044c307e2066553fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Devils, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 55c | 250,000$137,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,499.86 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Islanders | 45c | 201,752$90,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,963.43 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Islanders | 46c | 62,774$28,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,166.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Devils | 55c | 61,297$33,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,563.71 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Islanders | 39c | 37,500$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Devils | 54c | 35,899$19,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,385.51 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Devils | 55c | 30,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.97 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Islanders | 44c | 16,794$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,363.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Islanders | 45c | 16,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 48c | 13,158$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,827.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Islanders | 45c | 11,750$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders | 45c | 10,109$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Devils | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Devils | 74c | 8,987$6,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.59 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Devils | 52c | 7,800$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Devils | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…0a75backed Islanders | 46c | 6,646$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Islanders | 45c | 6,630$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Islanders | 45c | 6,404$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 29c | 6,200$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.33 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Islanders | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Islanders | 45c | 5,933$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 49c | 5,584$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.06 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Islanders | 45c | 5,491$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Islanders | 45c | 5,487$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.85 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Islanders | 45c | 5,259$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.22 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 52c | 5,202$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Islanders | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Devils | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 52c | 4,615$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.55 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 45c | 4,244$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 53c | 4,199$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.28 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Devils | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Devils | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 46c | 3,833$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.06 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 22c | 3,821$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Islanders | 45c | 3,360$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 44c | 3,326$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.56 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Devils | 47c | 2,938$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.24 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Islanders | 45c | 2,804$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Islanders | 44c | 2,777$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.57 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Islanders | 45c | 2,733$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.33 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Islanders | 45c | 2,701$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Islanders | 46c | 2,657$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devils | 59c | 2,622$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.32 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Devils | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Islanders | 44c | 2,500$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Islanders | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Islanders | 45c | 2,195$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.31 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Islanders | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.8 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Islanders | 45c | 2,002$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 55c | 2,002$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.98 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Islanders | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Devils | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Devils | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Islanders | 45c | 1,870$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…d2c6backed Islanders | 45c | 1,850$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…c947backed Devils | 55c | 1,850$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Islanders | 45c | 1,729$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.93 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 46c | 1,723$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.52 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Islanders | 50c | 1,701$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.91 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Islanders | 45c | 1,646$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.37 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Devils | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Devils | 53c | 1,547$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 54c | 1,506$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Devils | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 29c | 1,359$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Devils | 55c | 1,324$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.2 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 51c | 1,234$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.22 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Devils | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Islanders | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devils | 28c | 1,100$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Islanders | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Islanders | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.98 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Devils | 56c | 1,078$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 44c | 1,067$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.52 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…543cbacked Islanders | 45c | 1,010$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Islanders | 46c | 1,008$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Islanders | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Devils | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Devils | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3891backed Islanders | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Islanders | 50c | 986.15$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Devils | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Devils | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 46c | 871$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.4 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Islanders | 45c | 860$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Devils | 31c | 858.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Islandersthis page
- Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.