NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84dc3a36563e48941e40e5c27402e580e98772b0dacd173feb112eb4253446e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 46c | 6,502$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.64 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Over | 54c | 6,175$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,013$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.03 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,617$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 52c | 699.93$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 54c | 636.82$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 54c | 297$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 261.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 156$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 96.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 47c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Under | 45c | 44.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.