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Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under51c126,318$63,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,408.878962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c31,629$15,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,362.322,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c25,915$12,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,438.951,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c19,301$9,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,484.534,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over49c11,914$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.662,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08012642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c7,661$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.191,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over49c5,370$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.23633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c5,340$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.831,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c3,243$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.1351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4405754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c2,255$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.11,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Over2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Under72c1,999$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.722544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020254.5%110 W · 92 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,847$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.436,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under50c1,846$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92315952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under52c1,444$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.2240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1624566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c1,000$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.5139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c685.02$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3621853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Over52c550.24$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3113249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over59c506.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under50c500.68$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.682070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fe…3db2backed Over50c433.8$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004250%21 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over51c392.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010443.3%45 W · 59 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over62c384.1$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under51c317.65$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.654656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over51c277$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.278643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.275865.5%38 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Under71c263.48$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.418158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f5backed Over51c237.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…67a0backed Over52c221.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over22c220$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.814845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Over49c213.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.52676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Over63c212.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44a…bcd8backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under77c188.57$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5717845.5%81 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d89…340cbacked Under64c179.09$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.471566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over63c168.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0675056.5%424 W · 326 L+44.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Under37c167.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.431747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…6f25backed Under42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over49c140.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917055.9%95 W · 75 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Under60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.652142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606633.3%22 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c101.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.352626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Over51c94.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.282060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over50c94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under39c91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.514447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under45c78.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.957740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519048.4%92 W · 98 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under38c65.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.174637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under49c60.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over52c57.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d9…1f75backed Under44c56.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2326…5ee8backed Over56c53.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Under51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over54c49.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6522040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over23c49.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.689252.9%472 W · 420 L-3.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042740.3%172 W · 255 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.630554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over38c37.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.334233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Under53c36.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.032142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Over51c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89ea…dd92backed Under47c31.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.692748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa824…121bbacked Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e3…a9debacked Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.