Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e12c036e408e146fb05f3f6d0c2ed2c82aeb27443c7e9cb0b1546f37935dd14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 4,354$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.19 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 2,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 2,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 28c | 1,163$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 73c | 1,076$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.52 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 28c | 700.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 28c | 443.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…e43cbacked Over | 71c | 400.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 72c | 386.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 72c | 362.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 9c | 314.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 28c | 289.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 73c | 273.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 73c | 268.1$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 72c | 268.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Under | 31c | 251$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 75c | 211.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Over | 72c | 100.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 28c | 91.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…2a50backed Over | 72c | 75.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 72c | 72.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…c16abacked Over | 72c | 56.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 47.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 71c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…9691backed Over | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…1071backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…a501backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.