Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4aedb08729b698cafc548526725290bc61ee92d12b2bb5ce27d25149240b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed West Ham United FC | 62c | 52,732$32,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,587.84 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 50,171$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,170.56 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 27,399$16,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,439.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 22,800$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,136 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 10,789$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 8,933$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed West Ham United FC | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 6,154$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.85 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 4,237$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.66 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 3,010$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 1,992$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked West Ham United FC | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,329$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.04 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.61 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked West Ham United FC | 61c | 814.35$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.75 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 792.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.43 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 572.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 547$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked West Ham United FC | 62c | 500.67$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed West Ham United FC | 62c | 402.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…f58abacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 330.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 275.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed West Ham United FC | 61c | 244.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked West Ham United FC | 62c | 233.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Manchester City FC | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked West Ham United FC | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed West Ham United FC | 12c | 199.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 199$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Manchester City FC | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed West Ham United FC | 61c | 185.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 165.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed West Ham United FC | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Manchester City FC | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 127.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed West Ham United FC | 57c | 108.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed West Ham United FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…01b0backed West Ham United FC | 52c | 96.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked West Ham United FC | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…fdebbacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…9691backed West Ham United FC | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked West Ham United FC | 55c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked West Ham United FC | 63c | 79.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Manchester City FC | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 75.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked West Ham United FC | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed West Ham United FC | 50c | 74.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Manchester City FC | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Manchester City FC | 39c | 63.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed West Ham United FC | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed West Ham United FC | 21c | 58.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed West Ham United FC | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed West Ham United FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked West Ham United FC | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked West Ham United FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed West Ham United FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…fe60backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 37.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed West Ham United FC | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked West Ham United FC | 63c | 30.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 27.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…8ecabacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed West Ham United FC | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Manchester City FC | 57c | 23.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.