TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9887…79a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3821.1%8 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.43
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+900%+$100.38
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+186.8%+$56.03
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.1%+$18.42
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31.52
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+455.6%+$91.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+110.4%+$55.21
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$24.89
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Brighton (-1.5)backed Brighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Manchester City (-2.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.73
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$97.93
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$100.38
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+194.1%+$56.29
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)backed Villarreal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.