Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f2e4953c51d082cc355a62425987e0045c8695d09737529de4419e21f68a1f

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $319,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $301,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	91,524$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.17	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	3c	63,614$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.32	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	1c	15,121$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes	3c	7,006$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.49	80	7.5%6 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	3c	6,878$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.93	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Yes	3c	3,846$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes	3c	3,846$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53f…ace3backed Yes	3c	3,701$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.22	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	3c	3,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	2c	2,899$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.84	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes	3c	2,482$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.05	156	7.7%12 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…91c2backed Yes	3c	1,804$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes	3c	1,786$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	287	16.4%47 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes	3c	1,691$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	165	26.1%43 W · 122 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	3c	1,426$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.78	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes	3c	1,154$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	300	11.3%34 W · 266 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Yes	3c	1,071$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes	3c	1,014$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.42	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes	3c	1,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.51	473	21.6%102 W · 371 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes	3c	1,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes	3c	1,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	116	16.4%19 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	3c	967.77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	3c	966.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9057…02dabacked Yes	3c	960$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	189	21.7%41 W · 148 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	3c	892.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	3c	862.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b1…77c0backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	22%18 W · 64 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	13.5%27 W · 173 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes	3c	769.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	207	8.2%17 W · 190 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes	3c	750$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	131	12.2%16 W · 115 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes	3c	714.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	10.5%10 W · 85 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes	3c	714.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	311	19.3%60 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	2c	664.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	3c	618$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes	3c	600$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	30%6 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	3c	600$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	176	38.1%67 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…93b5backed Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a73…c908backed Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…d3abbacked Yes	3c	550$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	106	26.4%28 W · 78 L	-11.4wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes	3c	545.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	136	10.3%14 W · 122 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc475…17bfbacked Yes	3c	535.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes	3c	461.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	357	14%50 W · 307 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d6…8704backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	211	55.9%118 W · 93 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0060…5dd4backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	173	12.7%22 W · 151 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa339…82eabacked Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe933…a842backed Yes	3c	358.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	172	23.3%40 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	157	8.9%14 W · 143 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	216	23.1%50 W · 166 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Yes won
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?No won
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event