Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01727eef983299f21462f2dd55041568c531d74ac8edfa69035d8c6bd50e17f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 5c | 25,287$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 18,735$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 8,399$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.14 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 2c | 6,133$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 3c | 5,491$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 4,241$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 3c | 3,437$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 3c | 3,248$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…da74backed Yes | 3c | 2,568$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 2,436$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,726$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,325$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed Yes | 3c | 1,192$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 3c | 1,173$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,078$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,038$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Yes | 3c | 999.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…f095backed Yes | 3c | 989.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 948.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes | 3c | 912.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 10.5%10 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…e3c6backed Yes | 6c | 806.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 3c | 754.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 3c | 703.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…bbedbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 3c | 481$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 466.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…dd58backed Yes | 3c | 452.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…a9b3backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 4c | 284.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 12.1%11 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.