TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8876…01fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$783.3
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+76%+$250.84
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$23.14
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.56
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.95
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+389.1%+$2,334.47
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.55
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Morocco to score first vs. Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$112.5
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.51
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.93
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$62.92
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$178.25
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56%+$32.48
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Julia Stusek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.44
Zug: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+254.1%+$111.06
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.72
Athens Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.82
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$929.33
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$149.81
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Geabacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Matyas Fulebacked Matyas Fule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$354.02
Bunschoten: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.9
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Burruchaga vs Aguilarbacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Tsitsipasbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+59%+$88.47
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Blue Otter vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$352.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.5
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,512.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$145.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
L1ga Team to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.5%+$100.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.