Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb46d7b5c1e322ef27d9ef6868a624a47171a8999615b1120ce21964a16da055

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Çileklerof Fire Flux Esports, Çilekler
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Çilekler	28c	3,018$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.36	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Çilekler	33c	1,499$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.11	242	50.4%122 W · 120 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fire Flux Esports	59c	1,400$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.5	932	48.1%448 W · 484 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Çilekler	52c	1,275$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.85	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports	52c	903.33$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.66	1,365	38.9%531 W · 834 L	-60.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Fire Flux Esports	60c	809.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.89	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Fire Flux Esports	54c	800$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports	54c	674.09$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.95	818	34.8%285 W · 533 L	-61.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fire Flux Esports	62c	670.02$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.18	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Fire Flux Esports	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Çilekler	26c	549.98$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.32	324	45.4%147 W · 177 L	+51.8wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x94de…e3cabacked Fire Flux Esports	78c	514.35$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Fire Flux Esports	78c	512.41$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports	50c	416.84$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.59	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Çilekler	22c	400$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	176	54.5%96 W · 80 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Çilekler	34c	387.27$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.45	666	38%253 W · 413 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6560…a77cbacked Çilekler	25c	384.09$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.09	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	38cpaid	+103.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Çilekler	53c	377.91$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.91	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Çilekler	36c	364$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.37	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Çilekler	20c	359.4$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.64	545	42.2%230 W · 315 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fire Flux Esports	70c	353$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.84	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked Çilekler	33c	298.53$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.53	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+7.3wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+135.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Fire Flux Esports	50c	297.51$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.31	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Fire Flux Esports	37c	289.02$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.94	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Çilekler	26c	283.64$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.89	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Fire Flux Esports	63c	279.19$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.03	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4916…f78fbacked Çilekler	30c	267.36$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.36	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Fire Flux Esports	61c	266.35$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.8	421	40.4%170 W · 251 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Çilekler	46c	211.01$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.14	351	42.5%149 W · 202 L	-14.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports	66c	202.95$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.2	604	54%326 W · 278 L	+22.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Çilekler	45c	181.58$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.42	1,612	45.1%727 W · 885 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Çilekler	27c	158.62$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.54	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports	70c	157.97$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.08	575	50.6%291 W · 284 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Çilekler	13c	153.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.85	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Fire Flux Esports	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports	77c	150$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	751	42.7%321 W · 430 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fire Flux Esports	58c	148.96$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.89	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Çilekler	51c	146.15$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.61	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Çilekler	57c	138.36$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.92	122	61.5%75 W · 47 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Fire Flux Esports	76c	134.84$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.48	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fire Flux Esports	77c	127.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.54	349	54.7%191 W · 158 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Fire Flux Esports	38c	123.68$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Çilekler	42c	120$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.2	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Çilekler	59c	114$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.13	999	45.9%459 W · 540 L	-27.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Çilekler	34c	111$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.07	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Fire Flux Esports	47c	104.06$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,422	51.3%729 W · 693 L	+49.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Çilekler	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.64	404	54.7%221 W · 183 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Çilekler	53c	98.98$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.52	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Çilekler	28c	89.29$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	152	32.9%50 W · 102 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Çilekler	28c	89.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.56	1,312	43.8%575 W · 737 L	-44.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Çilekler	24c	83.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.18	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Fire Flux Esports	60c	82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports	74c	73.14$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	936	49.3%461 W · 475 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Çilekler	55c	66.66$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Çilekler	31c	61.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.74	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Çilekler	56c	60.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Fire Flux Esports	52c	59.87$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Çilekler	38c	54.54$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.74	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Fire Flux Esports	71c	52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Çilekler	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.09	393	50.9%200 W · 193 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Çilekler	34c	46.64$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.66	181	48.6%88 W · 93 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Çilekler	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Çilekler	36c	40.35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.63	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Çilekler	28c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Fire Flux Esports	72c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	346	71.1%246 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Çilekler	34c	38.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.29	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Çilekler	38c	38.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.03	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…6167backed Fire Flux Esports	46c	37.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Fire Flux Esports	70c	36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Çilekler	53c	33.55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…b299backed Çilekler	77c	32.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.43	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Fire Flux Esports	52c	32.31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports	62c	30.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	326	57.4%187 W · 139 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Fire Flux Esports	54c	30.28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	183	3.3%6 W · 177 L	-73.1wins	-0.40per pick	43cpaid	-93.1%equal weight	11-0.35 edge/pick
0x9d68…cd6abacked Fire Flux Esports	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Fire Flux Esports	65c	26.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Fire Flux Esports	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	237	45.1%107 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports	76c	14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	783	44.1%345 W · 438 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Fire Flux Esports	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler - Map 2 WinnerÇilekler won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event