Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f64e79d95eafa0cb77f622012d34d3c5776627e67e8de4d55fc50ef420bdb7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Çileklerof Fire Flux Esports, Çilekler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Çilekler | 48c | 768.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Çilekler | 61c | 585.25$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 559.43$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 392.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Çilekler | 45c | 229.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Çilekler | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 123.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Çilekler | 57c | 120.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fire Flux Esports | 26c | 115.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Çilekler | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 16c | 73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 69.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Çilekler | 68c | 62.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 51.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 37.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier PlayoffsÇilekler won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.