Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ffcfc886862489b3022fd24c66473ce21d1303d24a13e874a3b43b6fca03df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,639,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,499,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,639,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 656,321$27,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,689.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 190,000$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,299.97 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 2c | 71,564$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.75 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 8c | 65,859$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 7c | 63,832$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.27 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 61,730$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes | 7c | 61,122$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.55 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes | 7c | 56,157$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.98 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 7c | 42,709$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.62 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 8c | 31,113$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.61 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 25,924$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 5c | 24,515$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.25 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 19,408$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.93 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 7c | 14,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Yes | 7c | 14,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 7c | 12,888$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.16 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 7c | 11,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 13c | 11,181$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.06 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…be32backed Yes | 7c | 11,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 7c | 10,714$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…eecbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…83a0backed Yes | 12c | 10,041$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…da81backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 6c | 9,999$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 8c | 9,161$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.26 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,715$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.05 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 13c | 7,603$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 7c | 7,164$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.48 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 7c | 7,150$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…fe64backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 3c | 7,073$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…f039backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 7c | 5,750$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,409$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.6 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 10c | 5,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,990$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes | 7c | 4,841$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,691$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 7c | 4,679$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 7c | 4,530$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.11 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…aa69backed Yes | 11c | 4,476$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 7c | 4,387$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 4c | 4,223$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 4,140$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…f509backed Yes | 13c | 3,861$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.62 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 8c | 3,813$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.19 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 11c | 3,750$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.47 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 3,719$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,667$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…f5b8backed Yes | 14c | 3,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…f528backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 7c | 3,157$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,020$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…fd1bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,934$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 7c | 2,704$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed Yes | 8c | 2,669$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…e6cabacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 13c | 2,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…20a7backed Yes | 7c | 2,466$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 12c | 2,299$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes | 8c | 2,288$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 11c | 2,219$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 7c | 2,200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 14c | 2,174$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…cf74backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbd…35e0backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 7c | 2,126$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,095$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…0738backed Yes | 7c | 2,090$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.