Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5546d81990f87eb4e3c54ff9b6123d04eb0a7342b81bb7c5658766ac272e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 20,437$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 0c | 12,570$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…038fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Yes | 5c | 4,447$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 5c | 4,080$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,207$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…c900backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Yes | 5c | 1,834$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…f3afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 1,405$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes | 4c | 1,065$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 5c | 1,056$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…268bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 5c | 961.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162a…74e0backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…da40backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 4c | 547.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…c21ebacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…c956backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 15.6%20 W · 108 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…de08backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 16.1%20 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 5c | 390.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked Yes | 5c | 340$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…4a20backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…36debacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…e068backed Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…2dd8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d0abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…a406backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…9758backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…87dcbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…aad2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…1d58backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1d…38dabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…1370backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…7715backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…643dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…ed4abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 5.4%4 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…68a9backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?Yes won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?No won
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.