TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,114,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,884,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,114,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,034 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c360,261$28,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,264.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes8c346,807$26,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,916.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes9c124,847$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,80012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes7c110,000$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.9956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c80,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.9878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes10c76,198$7,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,586.6529916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes8c68,517$5,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,481.3551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4927…0f32backed Yes0c65,703$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.491010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes7c60,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes7c50,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes7c50,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9819332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e4…bf51backed Yes12c38,436$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes8c37,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes16c33,865$5,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,493.231926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b6…7456backed Yes10c30,952$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes7c18,352$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.679747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes6c17,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…bbcbbacked Yes7c15,714$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005630.4%17 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes7c15,438$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.6735514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes8c15,076$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170316.5%2 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes7c15,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c14,901$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.241,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes7c14,314$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00211914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes7c14,286$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes8c13,290$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c13,144$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes10c11,738$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes15c10,213$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.2117733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes11c10,095$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.687622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes10c9,701$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes9c8,835$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.2534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes8c8,750$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.068435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes8c8,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes7c8,571$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes7c7,602$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.142,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes7c6,866$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes11c6,616$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.791,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes7c6,002$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.13323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Yes7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9910128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes8c5,974$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.928010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…5496backed Yes7c5,714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007229.2%21 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes12c5,440$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.751,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168d…015abacked Yes7c5,395$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c5,250$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…a72fbacked Yes8c5,192$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes10c5,107$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Yes11c5,015$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.666241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x264f…0097backed Yes8c4,621$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes8c4,614$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2520427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes8c4,441$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Yes11c4,421$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes10c4,164$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Yes8c4,138$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44e…72d9backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004841.7%20 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes9c3,679$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes8c3,450$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27618027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76f…593ebacked Yes7c3,393$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf49c…c993backed Yes7c3,306$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes5c3,278$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0753920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes11c3,271$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9125228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes8c3,093$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4318321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd379…6229backed Yes12c3,012$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-73.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004012.5%5 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes7c2,762$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.821,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes7c2,704$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.329017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaab…d63fbacked Yes4c2,700$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes7c2,670$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes6c2,636$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1411723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes12c2,605$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa375…7e59backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd581…83b7backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003321.2%7 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede0…20a7backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200466.5%3 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes8c2,358$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes7c2,345$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…ca84backed Yes7c2,329$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes8c2,315$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes5c2,308$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7227034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes7c2,300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.03896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b4…3458backed Yes7c2,289$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.244126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes19c2,289$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44012341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes8c2,287$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes8c2,286$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.217613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes11c2,232$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.378023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…fbb8backed Yes8c2,166$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-69.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9c…93edbacked Yes7c2,137$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.61137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-90.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes7c2,114$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9824028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.