TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$826,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$768,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c118,653$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.622,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c66,236$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes4c40,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4804829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes3c28,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes4c27,027$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes4c23,875$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.0929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes4c19,862$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes4c18,976$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes3c15,314$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520316.5%2 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes1c13,288$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes10c10,274$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes4c10,000$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3124526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes4c9,574$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.341,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes4c8,484$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.03330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes5c7,346$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes3c5,714$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200685.9%4 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes4c5,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes4c4,262$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes2c4,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes4c3,693$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3273626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes3c3,662$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.521,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes3c3,460$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.641,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c3,439$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f23…40b4backed Yes3c3,321$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes4c2,797$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes3c2,465$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.725413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0607…d56fbacked Yes4c2,330$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014825%37 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…c6e1backed Yes4c2,284$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.258339.8%33 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes4c2,259$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8212712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x495f…9bc7backed Yes4c2,214$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804540%18 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes3c2,146$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes4c2,109$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes10c2,088$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Yes4c2,011$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…fbb8backed Yes4c1,856$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-69.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes3c1,785$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7a…b0cfbacked Yes3c1,765$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec39…6a5dbacked Yes4c1,732$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.52317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+145.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes3c1,714$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ef8…ac18backed Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes4c1,630$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe610…a9d6backed Yes3c1,491$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502313%3 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd35…8ad8backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f9…c1f1backed Yes4c1,417$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502810.7%3 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-67.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe508…a24cbacked Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504010%4 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1169…26b3backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3068…60dfbacked Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50258%2 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes4c1,388$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdedb…f657backed Yes4c1,362$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…3378backed Yes4c1,361$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012143%52 W · 69 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes5c1,358$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a4…561bbacked Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes4c1,351$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa647…5da1backed Yes4c1,345$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+168.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes3c1,335$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.66729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes4c1,313$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25896.7%6 W · 83 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes3c1,300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.233235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf539…7c7bbacked Yes4c1,277$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes3c1,272$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes3c1,270$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.179111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes8c1,209$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3112210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes3c1,200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.22619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes3c1,196$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.09368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ede…385abacked Yes4c1,149$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.52100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…2969backed Yes3c1,143$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408538.8%33 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes4c1,111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6898…f462backed Yes4c1,111$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Yes10c1,038$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes1c1,025$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd3…88bcbacked Yes4c1,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381921.1%4 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33581.7%1 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-86.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3426921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7541…6d98backed Yes3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e7…dc64backed Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35738.2%6 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Yes4c999.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes3c925.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8953920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692d…42b1backed Yes3c914.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322313%3 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes3c909.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301035.8%6 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ae…c97bbacked Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes8c870.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.325328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…de62backed Yes4c857.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x813a…0637backed Yes4c851.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305518.2%10 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Yes4c810.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes3c803.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716230.2%49 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…37e0backed Yes4c789.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813135.9%47 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed54…e286backed Yes4c789.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes5c777.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.32,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes3c770.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254719.1%9 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c39…1aedbacked Yes3c741.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-75.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…2e23backed Yes3c735.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25220%0 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e43…3d79backed Yes3c735.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04b…842abacked Yes3c735.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes3c734$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes8c718.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2666932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.