Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d0536745b35a8c9605520c96554d0c239b7690fcd845f8624d75a42694ddce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 11c | 118,685$12,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,671.47 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 111,955$10,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,873.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 73,000$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 64,337$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 9c | 34,678$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 28,400$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 9c | 27,475$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.75 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 13c | 19,665$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.67 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 18,336$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 12c | 14,918$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.64 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 9c | 10,289$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 12c | 9,348$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.54 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 9c | 8,058$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.28 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 12c | 7,256$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.9 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,193$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.25 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 8c | 7,008$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.64 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 15c | 6,379$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.09 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 8c | 6,215$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 15c | 5,950$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.41 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 9c | 5,555$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 4,703$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 9c | 4,600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 9c | 4,111$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…c8b9backed Yes | 16c | 3,725$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 3,673$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,610$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.92 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…8990backed Yes | 8c | 3,400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,100$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 9c | 2,944$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…47d4backed Yes | 1c | 2,824$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…0a93backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 8c | 2,731$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 13c | 2,730$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.98 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…c6edbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 1c | 2,402$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 8c | 2,399$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 9c | 2,244$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…a568backed Yes | 8c | 1,995$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,850$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…d21cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,843$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 9c | 1,833$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,778$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,698$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 11c | 1,661$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,478$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,389$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 1,264$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 16c | 1,217$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…01fbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…8f82backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…55b5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 9c | 1,092$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,076$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…9c53backed Yes | 9c | 1,071$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,048$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,022$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 8c | 927.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 12c | 921.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 8c | 888$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 9c | 824.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes | 11c | 805.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 9c | 759.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.