TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,061,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$891,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes11c118,685$12,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,671.4712210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c111,955$10,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,873.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes9c73,000$6,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,57056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes9c64,337$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.782,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes9c34,678$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12110927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c28,400$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.443,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes9c27,475$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.7530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes13c19,665$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.6717442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c18,336$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.034,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes9c15,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes12c14,918$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.6435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes9c10,289$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes12c9,348$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.5415040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes9c8,058$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.281,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes12c7,256$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes14c7,193$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes8c7,008$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.6435514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes15c6,379$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.0912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes8c6,215$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes9c6,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes15c5,950$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.4134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes9c5,555$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9519020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c4,703$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes9c4,600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41418027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes9c4,111$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…c8b9backed Yes16c3,725$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.465420.4%11 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes9c3,673$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.66729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes13c3,610$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbd…8990backed Yes8c3,400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes8c3,100$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9940515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes9c2,944$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa096…47d4backed Yes1c2,824$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes8c2,731$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.769826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes13c2,730$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9833843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes1c2,402$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1498439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes8c2,399$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes9c2,244$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20220816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b05…a568backed Yes8c1,995$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes8c1,850$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31c…d21cbacked Yes9c1,843$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes9c1,833$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes9c1,778$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0238817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes9c1,698$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15528425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes11c1,661$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Yes9c1,556$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Yes2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1359017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes11c1,478$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes9c1,400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes9c1,389$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes15c1,264$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…f295backed Yes9c1,222$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes16c1,217$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1929017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015936.5%58 W · 101 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1743…e614backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011132.4%36 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802d…55b5backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes9c1,092$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes9c1,076$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8512117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes9c1,071$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.410037%37 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes11c1,048$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4224146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes14c1,022$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.917622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…cdb9backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes8c927.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1732642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes12c921.32$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.717329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes8c888$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.049727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefed…aecdbacked Yes9c824.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.226618.2%12 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6517…aa7cbacked Yes11c805.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.966230.6%19 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes9c759.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0736627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.