Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a6a48c1e825e6fe30821dac972128958d3542d24405f97d8d7b5b06f9b50fc

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $263,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $251,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,380 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	15,345$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.58	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3d…b162backed Yes	2c	13,332$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.28	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes	2c	13,305$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	2.2%1 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes	2c	8,840$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	232	30.2%70 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	3c	7,859$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.36	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…3805backed Yes	2c	6,865$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.55	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	2c	6,075$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b91…8e2abacked Yes	5c	5,000$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.38	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes	2c	5,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes	2c	4,584$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	2c	4,452$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.49	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	1c	4,400$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.6	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes	2c	4,167$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	183	21.3%39 W · 144 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes	2c	3,347$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	6c	2,566$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.28	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	5c	2,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes	2c	2,358$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.71	539	20.6%111 W · 428 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes	2c	2,227$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.54	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	2c	2,148$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.06	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa631…b53ebacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes	3c	1,891$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	102	30.4%31 W · 71 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7588…df60backed Yes	2c	1,627$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	107	11.2%12 W · 95 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes	3c	1,526$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a4…77f0backed Yes	3c	1,450$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes	2c	1,313$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.26	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes	2c	1,136$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	96	12.5%12 W · 84 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes	1c	1,119$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	2c	995.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	2c	952.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Yes	2c	940$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	21.7%20 W · 72 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes	2c	900$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	164	28.7%47 W · 117 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	2c	888$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes	2c	801.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253b…43ddbacked Yes	3c	752$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes	3c	701.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes	2c	652.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	2c	652.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…0889backed Yes	2c	636.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes	6c	614.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	6c	582.5$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	4c	539.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d7…5e39backed Yes	2c	520$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…1a17backed Yes	8c	488.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.44	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd19…e070backed Yes	6c	484.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa143…5b6fbacked Yes	3c	480$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	3c	431$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes	4c	417.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	177	36.7%65 W · 112 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20e…8f55backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed81…b60cbacked Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…9ff1backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+134.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabea…56e9backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b2…6aa7backed Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	4cpaid	+528.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1591…3cc4backed Yes	8c	370.37$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6b…fbdbbacked Yes	6c	357.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	6c	350.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes	6c	330.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	157	19.1%30 W · 127 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes	6c	241.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	132	6.8%9 W · 123 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes	6c	209.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	159	23.3%37 W · 122 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	74	28.4%21 W · 53 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes	6c	156.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	236	33.9%80 W · 156 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event