TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa900…3805

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14,977Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+298.8%+$44,750.28
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,680.97
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,955.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$2,488.86
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$7,116.22
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$463.99
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$264.47
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,172.73
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$16,144.73
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.99
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$1,908.77
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,540
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.64
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,843.65
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$4,264
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,181.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$574.21
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+62.1%+$329.76
Will Jae-Won Chung (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.79
Will Timothy Loubineaud (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.09
Will Ji-Woo Park (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Bart Swings (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55.24
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34
Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+668.1%+$687.66
Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$153.56
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.5%+$144.09
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.61
Will Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+900%+$558
Will Joy Beune (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 3000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.02
Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,752Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66%+$3,797.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$148.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.