Olympics · resolved market
Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20621a10c53a485a130f6a44d2ee5ad6d45d0dd1a1f976dddd6c57b338620367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 2c | 1,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed No | 2c | 899.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 77c | 312.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…8206backed Yes | 23c | 295.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…8c93backed Yes | 18c | 256.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 71c | 120.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 30c | 73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…3805backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 73c | 26.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.